Saturday NFL
Let’s roll!
Two matchups today:
1st game: KC at DEN
Opened: O/U 44.5 DEN +10
Live: O/U 44.5 DEN +11
KC has clinched the AFC West but can snag the #1 seed with a win and a TEN loss. DEN is out and also will be without starting QB Teddy Bridgewater.
KC is 7-0 ATS (L7) on the road vs DEN
DEN is 0-7 ATS (L7) at home vs coach Reid
KC has won last 7 games ATS visiting DEN, including 6-1 SU
2nd game: DAL at PHI
Opened: O/U 42.5 PHI +7.5
Live: O/U 44.5 PHI +4
Both teams are postseason bound and while DAL has very little chance of capturing the top seed, PHI holds the #7 seed but could move up a spot. Jerry Jones says they don’t plan on resting any starters, while PHI has been crushed with COVID, putting 11-12 starters out.
UNDER is 9-3 (L12) in the DAL/PHI matchup in PHI
DAL is 4-0 ATS (L4) as a road fav
DAL is 7-1 ATS (L8) road games
UNDER is 7-1 in DAL last 8 games as a road fav
TEASER:
DAL +3.5/KC -4 (B+7)
PROPS:
Javonte Williams: U53.5 Rushing Yards -110
Travis Kelce: Anytime TD -115
Kenneth Gainwell: Anytime TD +125
Noah Fant: Anytime TD +330
Drew Lock: Longest completion O34.5 -120
For DFS:
QB RANK:
Mahomes (projected to lead all QBs in FPTS Saturday. Still hope for that #1 seed)
Prescott (Jerry Jones has his foot on the gas regardless of playoff scenarios)
Hurts (Dal defense missing 6 starters)
Lock (KC giving up 256 passing yards a game, coupled with a big opp for Lock)
Minshew (Hurts off injury, if something happens and they look to avoid further risk, Minshew could be sneaky)
RB RANK:
Gainwell (He’s the guy and will have increased touches with Scott and Sanders out. PHI has 11 straight 100+ rushing yard games)
Darrel Williams (great spot)
Zeke (Pollard is out, and although Elliott has been mysteries, he should be in the mix)
Clement (slides into the Pollard spot. Revenge spot?)
DEN (flip a coin between Gordon and Williams, i’d fade)
WR RANK:
Hill (Top on the slate but you’ll have to pay up)
CeeDee (struggles as of late but could break out. PHI secondary ain’t bad though)
D Smith (Goedert is out so watch for Smith to get some red zone love)
Jeudy (clicks with Lock)
TE RANK:
Kelce (Should be auto for a TD. Good for double digit FPTS)
Schultz (More targets with Gallup out)
Fant (seems to be Lock’s favorite target)
Rodgers (No Goedert, he’ll be the featured TE)
Okwuegbunam (Just practicing spelling his name)
DEF RANK:
KC
DAL
PHI
DEN
Here’s some sample lineups. Adjust away!
Thanks for reading-
Casey