What’s up crew. Some quick thoughts on tonight’s festivities…
We got the PFL World Championships.. it’s million dollar check night.
Reader’s digest rundown here…
HARRISON vs GUARDADO
Just hand her the check. Kayla is a star and backs it up fight after fight. She’s as real as they come. You pretty much have to parlay here with half the card to get her involved. -3500 to win and she’s like -200 to win inside the first round. Highly likely she does just that. She’ll get Guardado down and do her thing. She’s been on this TKO tear, just we could see an armbar. Congrats in advance Kayla.
MAGOMEDKERIMOV vs COOPER
Cooper lost to this guy back in 2018 via SUB. +300 sub prop bet actually could get there again. Scheduled for 5 rounds. Cooper will be the fan favorite. Lots of pressure but he’s as game as they come. Should be a good one.
SHIELDS vs MONTES
Shields should take this. Opened as a -600 and has been bet down all week to -250. Lots of recency bias based on her last fight where she struggled for two rounds, then eventually got her way with a round 3 TKO. Give me the over 1.5 rounds at -135.
CAPPELOZZA vs DELIJA
Capp has 13 wins, all by KO. Considering the losses between the two as well, neither guy historically makes the final bell. I like Cappelozza, by TKO/KO -135, and under 2.5 if avail at your book.
KHAYBULAEV vs WADE
Wade impressed last outing against Bubba Jenkins. Can he do it again against the undefeated Russian? I think he has a shot actually. I like this fight going into the over rounds and most likely to a decision.
CARLOS JR vs HAMLET
I’ve been riding Hamlet since he entered the PFL. Great value at this price. Only worry is if he gasses late. Im going to stay the course and take a shot on the dog.
RADZHABO vs MANIFIO
Radzhabo will be in a parlay.
AKHMEDOV vs YOUNG
See the fight above. (Akhmedov)
BUDD vs YOUNG
I like Budd to get the nod here. Not rushing to bet, but she could make her way into a round robin with the Russians.
MADGE vs WILLIAMS
Madge is going to finish this guy eventually. Fight doesn’t go to a decision.
Parlay/RR: Harrison/Shields/Radzhabo/Akhmedov/Madge
Go to town.
Casey
I’m in let’s rock
Good stuff as always Casey!! #hawaiiontop🇬🇧